72 suburbs tracked | Source: REA Group | Analysis: See-Change Solutions
The headline event: Gosford CBD finally crosses $1M (+$108k in two months). Noraville's retreat after briefly crossing in June confirms a thin-market artefact. Koolewong's rapid -$160k decline is the most concerning single movement this period.
| Suburb | House Price | Gap to $1M | YoY Growth | MoM | Outlook |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wadalba | $990,000 | $10,000 | +10.6% | +0.8% | 🟢 Imminent |
| Koolewong | $975,000 | $25,000 | -6.0% | -12.6% | 🔴 Retreating |
| Niagara Park | $973,500 | $26,500 | +11.3% | +0.4% | 🟢 Strong |
| Wyongah ⭐ | $972,500 | $27,500 | +21.6% | +2.9% | 🟢 Fastest-rising |
| Wyoming | $968,500 | $31,500 | +6.1% | +0.3% | 🟢 Steady |
| Killarney Vale | $961,750 | $38,250 | +4.5% | +0.7% | 🟡 Gradual |
Wadalba is just $10,000 from $1M with strong +10.6% annual momentum — most likely to cross next month. Wyongah (+21.6% YoY) newly joins the "Close" list and could cross within 6–9 months. Koolewong is actively moving away from $1M.
| Suburb | Jun Price | Aug Price | Change | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erina Heights | $1,582,500 | $1,965,000 | +24.2% | ⚠️ Small market — thin sample |
| Gosford ⭐ | $980,000 | $1,088,000 | +11.0% | Crossed $1M milestone |
| The Entrance | $1,000,000 | $1,087,500 | +8.8% | Solid suburban growth |
| Wyongah | $895,000 | $972,500 | +8.7% | Entering "Close" territory |
| Saratoga | $1,300,000 | $1,385,000 | +6.5% | Waterfront steady growth |
| Copacabana | $1,618,000 | $1,700,000 | +5.1% | Coastal recovery |
| Davistown | $1,330,000 | $1,205,000 | -9.4% | Notable correction |
| Blue Bay | $1,740,000 | $1,560,500 | -10.3% | Luxury coastal retreat |
| Warnervale | $975,000 | $875,000 | -10.3% | Lost $1M proximity status |
| Koolewong | $1,135,000 | $975,000 | -14.1% | Dropped from $1M+ to Close |
| Matcham | $2,520,000 | $2,325,000 | -7.7% | Luxury rural softening |
| Point Frederick | $2,025,000 | $1,887,500 | -6.8% | Prestige waterfront cooling |
| Suburb | House Price | Over $1M? | YoY | Rent /pw | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Woongarrah ⭐ | $1,050,000 | Yes | +9.9% | $800 | Growth corridor — best opportunity |
| Warnervale | $875,000 | No | -13.6% | $800 | Had units in June ($275k) — now absent |
| Koolewong | $975,000 | Close | -6.0% | $700 | Waterfront; no established unit stock |
| Bensville | $1,320,000 | Yes | +8.2% | $800 | Peninsula; high house price floor |
| Killcare Heights | $1,850,000 | Yes | -17.9% | $1,200 | Luxury enclave — not policy-relevant |
| Pretty Beach | $1,857,500 | Yes | +12.6% | $850 | Exclusive coastal — not policy-relevant |
| Erina Heights | $1,965,000 | Yes | -10.1% | $998 | Anomalous Jun unit data cleared |
Woongarrah is the standout affordable housing opportunity — a modern growth-area suburb with active demand (+9.9% YoY) and no established unit market. Medium-density infill here aligns with both housing affordability goals and market fundamentals. Note: San Remo gained unit data this month ($630,000) — no longer in the no-unit category.